Thunder vs. Grizzlies Prediction Today: Game 4 Odds & Expert Picks
With the top seed in the Western Conference leading 3-0, our Thunder vs. Grizzlies prediction leaves the door narrowly open for Memphis to extend the series today.
The Thunder enter today's Game 4 with the Grizzlies as convincing 14-point betting favorites, with moneyline odds hovering around -1000. The total is set at 223.5.
Ahead of the 3:30 p.m. ET tipoff (TNT) from FedExForum in Memphis, our NBA picks see the Grizzlies’ offensive prowess at home as a factor that could keep them within striking distance in Game 4, even if their season still comes to a disappointing end.
💰 Thunder vs. Grizzlies expert picks for Game 4
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✅ Against the spread pick: Grizzlies +14.5 (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Moneyline pick: Grizzlies (+650 via Caesars) ⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 223.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🏀 Game 4 prediction & best bet
🎯 Score prediction: Thunder 119, Grizzlies 113
Though we predict the Thunder to close out this series on the road, there’s no value in laying the -1000 odds on a moneyline bet. If you were taking a swing on the ML in this matchup, it has to be for the home underdogs, though we don’t strongly recommend it.
That said, there’s too much talent on this Memphis team not to believe the Grizzlies can put up a fight akin to their 8-point Game 3 loss on Thursday. Surprisingly, the team with the best home scoring rate in the league (123 PPG) did it by limiting the Thunder in a lower-scoring affair than we’re used to seeing at home for the Grizzlies.
In Game 4, that woeful home scoring defense is liable to catch up to the Grizzlies, rendering an outright upset as a long-shot proposition - Memphis allows 115.6 PPG at home. But hey, the Grizzlies score in bunches at FedExForum, too, so with pride on the line in what could end up as the season finale, we’ll predict Memphis scores enough to keep things interesting.
In so doing, we like this game to clear the 223.5-point total between two of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA, who average a combined 240.8 PPG on the season.
✅ Best bet: Grizzlies +14.5 (-115 via BetMGM)
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⛹️ Top NBA player prop for Thunder vs. Grizzlies
🔥 Scotty Pippen Jr. Over 14.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Grizzlies got a spark from Pippen in Game 3, and he feels like the type of player who will play to the final whistle in Game 4, even if things start to turn sour.
Pippen piled up 28 points in Game 3 as he soared above his season scoring average of 9.9 PPG for the second game in the series. This effort came in a close loss for Memphis, and Pippen feels destined to maintain his recent minutes load into the 30s regardless of the spread as this game develops.
✅ Best odds: -112 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.93)
📈 Thunder vs. Grizzlies odds
Live updated odds from our best sports betting sites.
🪧 Game 4 opening odds
Opening odds via BetMGM.
- Spread: Thunder -14.5 (-105) | Grizzlies +14.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Thunder -1000 | Grizzlies +625
- Over/Under: Over 225.5 (-110) | Under 225.5 (-110)
🚑 Thunder vs. Grizzlies injury report
Follow the official NBA injury report for more injury news.
📡 How to watch Thunder vs. Grizzlies live (Game 4)
📅 Saturday, April 26
🕗 3:30 p.m. ET
📍FedExForum (Memphis)
📺 TNT | 🛜 Max and Fubo
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