Cavaliers vs. Heat Prediction: Game 3 Odds, Expert Picks & NBA Playoff Preview
After the top seed earned a 2-0 series lead, the Cleveland Cavaliers and Miami Heat shift their NBA playoffs series to South Beach as we make our Cavaliers vs. Heat prediction.
The Cavaliers enter Saturday's Game 3 with the Heat as 6.5-point betting favorites while getting roughly -240 moneyline odds. The total is set at 213.5. Leading up to tipoff from Kaseya Center in Miami at 1 p.m. ET (TNT), we'll examine whether Miami can climb back into the series with the benefit of playing on their home court.
For our NBA picks, we envision Cleveland’s offensive firepower as an overwhelming factor in this matchup despite Miami’s strengths defensively.
📡 How to watch Cavaliers vs. Heat live (Game 3)
📅 Saturday, April 26
🕗 1 p.m. ET
📍 Kaseya Center (Miami)
📺 TNT | 🛜 Max and Fubo
💡 Cavaliers vs. Heat expert picks for Game 3
✅ Against the spread pick: Heat +6.5 (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Moneyline pick: Cavaliers ML (-230 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 213.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
🎯 Cavaliers vs. Heat Game 3 prediction
Score prediction: Cavaliers 112, Heat 107
🏀 Game 3 preview & best bet
Although the Cavaliers are among the NBA’s most potent offensive teams, the Heat might not be getting enough credit for their capabilities when oddsmakers count them out on their home court. Miami is 9-6 against the spread this season as a home underdog, and they've gone nine straight home games without suffering a defeat of greater than six points at Kaseya Center.
Despite a defensive scoring average among the NBA’s top 10 teams, the vast majority of Miami's home games have been sailing Over the total, with Overs going 25-16 in Heat home games this season. The typical expectation for underdogs and Unders isn't showing up here, with the Over going 8-7 when the Heat play as a home dog.
Even with both teams sitting among the league’s top-12 scoring defenses, the total combined points per game that Cleveland and Miami allow adds up to 222.9. We haven’t seen any of the five Cavs-Heat contests this season finish with fewer than 219 total points.
The total has opened at 215.5 after moving in our favor. We would still like the Over at the original opening number, so it’s an easy call to bet it at Over 213.5.
✅ Best bet: Over 213.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
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⛹️ Top NBA player prop for Cavaliers vs. Heat
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🔥 Bam Adebayo Over 34.5 points + rebounds + assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Bam Adebayo tallied his lowest points total since March 23 in Game 2, and he still nearly managed to clear a points + rebounds + assists total of 34.5. His ability to rack up rebounds is a steady equalizer for his PRA prop, as he averages nearly 10 per game.
The nine assists Adebayo recorded during Game 2 probably won’t be replicated. But in thinking correlated to our prediction of Over 213.5 total points and the Heat covering, we would be surprised if Adebayo (who averages 18.1 points per game) doesn’t chip in far more than 11 points as the series shifts to Miami.
Add it all up, and we like this PRA line going Over, as Bam has scored 26-plus points in three of his past four home games.
✅ Best odds: -118 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8.47)
🚀 Best same-game parlay (SGP) for Cavaliers vs. Heat
🧪 Want to build your own SGP? Use our parlay calculator to find the best odds for any same-game parlay.
📈 Cavaliers vs. Heat odds for Game 3
Live updated odds from our best sports betting sites.
🪧 Game 3 opening odds
Opening odds via BetMGM.
- Spread: Cavaliers -6.5 (-110) | Heat +6.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Cavaliers +195 | Heat -235
- Over/Under: Over 215.5 (-105) | Under 215.5 (-115)
🚑 Cavaliers vs. Heat injury report for Game 3
Follow the official NBA injury report for more injury news.
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